It's been months since I've posted and I was ready to give MEC up. However, Google made it impossible to disable my domain name, so my $10 charge was activated for another year. I'm also questioning my writing chops. I'm paying for it, so why not use it? Everyone says just to hammer away and if you're good, they'll find you. Here's to hoping that eventually happens.
The change in format. MEC grew into an advanced stats haven, which became very dogmatic in the use of Win Shares. I've since seen Win Shares is fallible in its own right. Though it was useful, it also had its flaws. The incorporation of Defensive Rating caused too much fluctuation between year-to-year statistics, even though a player was playing comparable basketball across that time. Look at the Cavs, for instance. A lot of those guys (Mo Williams, J.J. Hickson, Jamario Moon) were looking good because they were playing on a great defensive team, even though Mo and J.J. couldn't/can't guard anybody. Now, they're one of the worst defenses in the league and their defensive rating shows that. Too much fluctuation, due to a couple of players leaving, when really those guys could never defend in the first place (besides Moon).
Also, I saw too little importance on shot creation. Usage Rate isn't treated as a skill like I feel like it should be. For instance, Win Shares per48 has Tyson Chandler as the third best player this year. I love Chandler, he's had a great year, but 3rd?
I pledge my allegiance to PER. Unlike WS, PER doesn't try to quantify defense. It seems to get it right in terms of collecting advanced stats and placing them into a cumulative number. It's up to the user to skew PER with their own subjective views of player defense. So PER is the stat of choice around here, until something can dethrone it.
It feels all right to be back to writing about basketball.
Thursday, February 10, 2011
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